Wide-open fairway to start the back 9. The shared double green (with Hole 1) is enormous — finding it isn't the problem, lag putting is. Matt/Zolla: This is a confidence-builder. Grip it and rip it off the tee, aim for the center of the green. Birdie is very gettable here. Leffler's birdie rate (1.9/rd) means he'll be looking to strike early — don't let him get ahead on the opening hole.

The Strath Bunker is a nightmare — deep pot bunker with a near-vertical face. Short is dead. Right is OB. The green slopes hard back to front, so anything above the hole is a fast downhill putt. Matt: Club up. Better to be pin-high left than anywhere short. On par 3s last round you went birdie-par-bogey — your short game is good enough to scramble from the left side. Zolla: You bogeyed both par 3s in the last par-35 round — par 3s are where Leffler gains (he birdied one). Aim center-left, take your par, move on.

Short par 4 — the second-easiest hole on the back 9. The danger is the hidden bunkers that catch approach shots that come up short. Matt/Zolla: Accuracy over distance. A mid-iron off the tee leaves a short wedge in. Last round Zolla parred this while both Brenckle and Leffler made double — that's a 2-stroke swing each. This hole can be the difference. Leffler's doubles (1.2/rd) tend to come on short par 4s where he gets aggressive. Let him make the mistake.

A monster par 4 at 465 yards. Most mid-handicappers won't reach in two. The smart play is a layup to a comfortable wedge distance. Matt: Your bogey rate (3.9/rd) means you're used to making 5s. This is a hole where bogey is a good score. Don't try to be a hero — take your 5 and hope Brenckle goes after it. His 3.7 std dev means he might try to force it and make a 6 or 7. Zolla: Similar story. Leffler rarely makes triples (0.1/rd), so you won't gain much here. Just match his bogey.

The most famous par 5 on the course. Hell Bunker sits at ~350 yards — a deep, steep-faced pit that can cost 2 strokes to escape. The Beardies bunkers catch tee shots left. If you avoid trouble, the enormous double green is an easy target in 3. This is the critical swing hole. Last round, Zolla birdied a par 5 while Leffler bogeyed — a 2-stroke swing on a single hole. Brenckle birdied both par 5s (!) in the last round. He likes par 5s. Matt: You bogeyed both par 5s last round. Lay up short of Hell Bunker (hit 3-wood or long iron off the tee). A wedge into the green and two putts = birdie is there. Zolla: Your birdie on 14 last round was the biggest swing in your match. Do it again. Avoid Hell Bunker, put yourself on in 3 with a look at birdie.

Another long, tough par 4. The Cottage bunker catches approach shots that drift right. The green has subtle breaks that make two-putting difficult. Matt/Zolla: Bogey is acceptable. The key is avoiding the Cottage bunker — aim left on your approach. Par here is a win. Leffler made a birdie from the par-3 last round (hole 15 was par 3 on the other course) — his scrambling is elite. Don't expect him to make mistakes on tough holes.

OB runs the entire right side along the old railway wall. The Principal's Nose bunkers sit right in the middle of the fairway at driver distance. This is where discipline pays off. Matt: NEVER go right. Aim well left of the Principal's Nose. You have 0.4 triples/rd and most of those come from OB penalties. This hole is designed to produce them. If Brenckle pushes one right here, that's the match. His 51 blowup in R5 probably included a hole just like this. Zolla: You parred this hole type (mid-length par 4) consistently last round. Play for the left side, wedge on, two-putt.

The most famous — and most feared — hole in golf. The tee shot must carry the corner of the hotel (OB left/over). The approach is to a narrow, shallow green with the Road Bunker front-left and the actual road and stone wall behind the green. Going long is dead. Going left is dead. Playing safe right leaves a near-impossible up-and-down. This hole decides matches. It plays as one of the hardest par 4s in the world. Bogey 5 is a great score; double bogey 6 is common; a blow-up 7 or 8 can happen to anyone. Matt: Forget the green in two. Lay up to 80-100 yards and pitch on. If you make 5, take it and smile. Brenckle's double-bogey rate (0.7/rd) means there's a ~25% chance he makes one on a single hole — this is the most likely candidate. Zolla: Same plan. Your 0.3 triples/rd vs Leffler's 0.1 triples/rd is the one area you trail. Do NOT try to be clever with the Road Bunker in play. If Leffler makes 5, match him. If he makes 6, you've gained a stroke without doing anything special.

The widest fairway in golf leads to the iconic Swilcan Bridge and the grandstand green. The Swilcan Burn catches short tee shots but isn't in play for a normal drive. The Valley of Sin is a deep depression front-left of the green — getting stuck in it adds a stroke because you can't putt up the slope cleanly. This is the closing birdie hole. Short par 4, wide-open fairway, green is gettable in 2 for everyone. Matt: This is your redemption hole. You parred 18 last round. If the match is tight, this is where you need to dig for birdie. Fly the approach past the Valley of Sin — center or right of the green. Zolla: Five pars on 18 in your last round. You know how to close — but tonight, if you need a birdie, go for the pin. The green is huge, so even an aggressive approach has a safety net.